British PM May looks 9 seats short of parliament majority - YouGov

  • British PM May looks 9 seats short of parliament majority - YouGov

British PM May looks 9 seats short of parliament majority - YouGov

British Prime Minister Theresa May was fighting to shore up her general election campaign on Wednesday after a shock projection suggested she could lose her parliamentary majority, leaving the pound wobbling. On Thursday, YouGov said their model showed the Conservatives were 9 seats short of a majority.

But Corbyn has unequivocally ruled out a coalition deal with Nicola Sturgeon's SNP and Tim Farron, the Liberal Democrat leader, said in April that he will do "no deal, no deal with anybody" under any circumstances - unlike his predecessor Nick Clegg. It is more complicated than this but that is the key to why YouGov and Survation polls are producing single-figure leads for the Conservatives.

At least 326 seats are needed to hold the majority in the House of Commons.

The research comes just a week before the general election and during a campaign which has seen the Conservative poll lead plummet from as high as 24 points.

The Conservatives were on 42 percent, down a point from last week, with Labour up three points, the YouGov survey said.

"Once the Conservative lead falls below 7 points we are potentially in the world of a hung parliament", said John Curtice, a leading election expert who is president of the British Polling Council.

Of those who said they prioritised education, 83 per cent said they were "more likely to vote for a candidate who will support tackling education and school funding". The projection, which uses data about each constituency to predict how voting intention would translate into seats, suggested that the Conservatives could lose 20 seats while Labour could gain nearly 30.

On a universal swing, such a result would see the Conservatives losing 15 seats to Labour, with Jeremy Corbyn's party also picking up seats from the Lib Dems and SNP.

Jeremy Corbyn will also get a chance to further improve Labour's poll ratings during tonight's live BBC debate - a debate which Theresa May has declined to take part in, choosing instead to send the Home Secretary Amber Rudd in her place.

Other projections suggested May would win soundly.

It is not clear whether these voters will keep the habit, and whether they will back Labour or switch to the Conservatives who have been more explicit in promising to deliver Brexit.

While nearly half of voters - 48 percent - backed the "remain" side in last year's referendum, many have since become resigned to leaving the EU.

But YouGov acknowledged that models could not produce estimates as accurate as a full-scale poll in each constituency.

One of the main reasons why Corbyn has lead Labor ever-downwards in the polls and is generally not viewed favorably even by Labor voters is because he's attributed terror attacks, including Manchester, in Britain to "foreign policy". Only 44% of 18-24s in the ICM poll say they are 10/10 certain to vote next Thursday, compared with 66% of 35-64s and 80% of over-65s.